Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 97.113120 107.952155 118.991872 131.046927 143.810185 156.892406 171.286461
2025-02-23 80.015720 95.631357 112.193223 130.945936 151.472931 173.151061 197.668505
2025-03-02 69.523800 87.795954 107.765869 130.966962 156.947626 184.931315 217.141982
2025-03-09 61.860735 82.074210 104.756588 131.691646 162.425154 196.057054 235.308847
2025-03-16 54.441579 75.842227 100.479077 130.342608 165.008544 203.486575 248.944809
2025-03-23 49.916679 72.579047 99.250108 132.141219 170.863328 214.337489 266.196073
2025-03-30 46.220699 69.977725 98.516300 134.264880 176.881881 225.210094 283.341684
2025-04-06 41.552351 65.783707 95.548273 133.455995 179.240475 231.696102 295.327679
2025-04-13 36.520886 60.738323 91.213137 130.710736 179.063859 235.044511 303.531933
2025-04-20 35.027530 60.240377 92.485234 134.758622 186.961668 247.802425 322.634982
2025-04-27 33.029788 58.900594 92.562904 137.227441 192.880895 258.185211 338.944986
2025-05-04 29.947364 55.836470 90.233939 136.528064 194.820387 263.760166 349.547401
2025-05-11 26.913401 52.663685 87.647300 135.433109 196.253712 268.757088 359.542767
2025-05-18 24.891408 50.824650 86.742903 136.424804 200.227749 276.785994 373.138659
2025-05-25 22.659408 48.498069 85.044213 136.274564 202.687682 282.921834 384.432546
2025-06-01 20.916525 46.791178 84.103799 137.043777 206.250463 290.362584 397.269975
2025-06-08 18.660780 44.088458 81.627884 135.657677 206.984010 294.276089 405.812597
2025-06-15 17.529946 43.133427 81.586407 137.500701 211.826603 303.232158 420.453618
2025-06-22 16.574301 42.398085 81.814245 139.675616 217.078540 312.689548 435.711898
2025-06-29 14.896653 40.278612 79.908490 138.847224 218.372335 317.190587 444.905808
2025-07-06 12.877048 37.352838 76.655609 136.035349 216.978672 318.265195 449.851322
2025-07-13 12.645254 37.701270 78.371139 140.181266 224.758391 330.865462 468.976851
2025-07-20 12.059929 37.331573 78.952292 142.709299 230.390678 340.767046 484.795171